Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 12.519705 14.612348 16.895875 19.566022 22.595556 25.918873 29.832974
2025-07-20 9.491232 12.460183 16.030571 20.606431 26.277515 33.034908 41.651503
2025-07-27 7.547012 10.882978 15.213253 21.167621 29.051823 39.032785 52.506331
2025-08-03 6.108738 9.553164 14.325305 21.285105 31.014715 43.948381 62.216328
2025-08-10 4.918316 8.288663 13.243878 20.862001 32.033943 47.528537 70.279995
2025-08-17 3.992343 7.218823 12.232227 20.321616 32.708852 50.551544 77.663619
2025-08-24 3.255549 6.298753 11.282797 19.697793 33.109572 53.108208 84.453245
2025-08-31 2.622262 5.427005 10.264795 18.800615 32.937128 54.719923 89.871161
2025-09-07 2.323910 5.093605 10.084397 19.219251 34.833644 59.546694 100.378268
2025-09-14 2.060441 4.775401 9.878138 19.550369 36.583975 64.227448 110.912955
2025-09-21 1.753738 4.312461 9.339305 19.220400 37.164277 67.039374 118.627181
2025-09-28 1.456179 3.808999 8.647812 18.519196 37.010746 68.597605 124.361765
2025-10-05 1.365377 3.764508 8.892888 19.684517 40.425843 76.609642 141.653067
2025-10-12 1.257711 3.666036 9.026650 20.675671 43.664071 84.639526 159.658983
2025-10-19 1.126115 3.480604 8.947467 21.228713 46.129112 91.493386 176.101344
2025-10-26 0.981539 3.227150 8.676206 21.344772 47.751272 96.939675 190.413153
2025-11-02 0.825403 2.901820 8.184209 20.920341 48.250759 100.352520 201.301513
2025-11-09 0.688296 2.592006 7.672938 20.378590 48.442343 103.176958 211.261942
2025-11-16 0.569744 2.302578 7.158188 19.753236 48.382667 105.491737 220.387137
2025-11-23 0.459853 2.005022 6.564360 18.853856 47.633837 106.390582 226.879721
2025-11-30 0.415234 1.916204 6.517543 19.273520 49.798544 113.168047 244.906707
2025-12-07 0.372795 1.822420 6.440301 19.605450 51.790418 119.713405 262.823854
2025-12-14 0.316404 1.656388 6.122030 19.274672 52.232940 123.113198 274.760262